Analisis metodológico para la modelación de la seguridad alimentaria a nivel nacional
Resumen
La comunidad científica y política ha incrementado el interés por entender
e intervenir el problema de seguridad alimentaria, especialmente desde la
crisis alimentaria en la década de los 70 s. Diferentes estrategias meto¬
dológicas han sido utilizadas con el ánimo de proyectar, predecir y evaluar
políticas como soporte para la toma de decisiones en el sector público.
Este artículo explora un conjunto de metodologías usadas para el estudio
de la seguridad alimentaria a nivel nacional, herramientas estratégicas para
una apropiada formulación, evaluación y aplicación de políticas. Se discute
el potencial uso de metodologías complementarias al análisis tradicional,
especialmente la Dinámica de Sistemas, como una herramienta de simu¬
lación que permite el análisis de relaciones causales, el establecimiento
de variables críticas y la evaluación de escenarios a favor de una efectiva
toma de decisiones.
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